Core Faculty and Staff

 

Hometown: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 

Education:

B.S. in Physics and Spanish from Bates College, Lewiston, Maine, 2009

M.A. in Global Finance, Trade and Economic Integration, University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2014

David K. Bohl began working with the Pardee Center in the summer of 2012, when he was a graduate student at Korbel. Since then, he has consulted with several organizations, including the Peruvian Strategic Planning Center (CEPLAN), the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative, the New Partnership for Africa's Development (NEPAD), USAID, the Western Cape Provincial Government of South Africa, and the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). He has been fundamental to the development of a variety of newer sub-models in IFs, including those that forecast the informal economy, bilateral trade, and ICT, and has pioneered the use of network analysis at the center. He also oversees the ongoing development of our crowd-sourced data analytics platform called Data Gator.

Emaildavid.bohl@du.edu

Office: 303.871.4716

Mobile: 724.875.9206

Research Associate II

Hometown: St. Paul, Minnesota

Education:

B.B.A. University of Wisconsin – Eau Claire, Business Economics, 2010

M.A., University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, Global Finance, Trade and Economic Integration, 2015

Drew Bowlsby specializes in statistical methods and contributes his quantitative modeling expertise across a number of our projects, including a series of publications for the Minerva Research Initiative and EconDash. Before starting at Korbel, he spent two years with the Saint Paul Public School Foundation, where he started and managed a tutoring program at the high school level. He also worked as a researcher for the UWEC economics department and taught English in Japan with the Guy Healy program.

Emaildrew.bowlsby@du.edu

Office phone: 303.871.6556

Research Associate I

    Email: Janet.Dickson@du.edu

 

Sr. Research Associate

Hometown: Springfield, Missouri

Education:

B. A. English, Drury University, 2011

M.A. Josef Korbel School of International Studies, International Development, 2013

Whitney joined our team in 2017 as a project manager, working primarily on the Diplometrics project. She first became interested in the Pardee Center’s work on human development and stability and conflict during her graduate studies at Korbel. From 2013-2015, Whitney served as a Peace Corps Master’s International Student and worked as a Community and Youth Development Volunteer in Vanadzor, Armenia. While in the Peace Corps, she conducted research on male migration and female labor markets in Armenia. Whitney is proficient in Eastern Armenian, has a working proficiency in Spanish, and is a beginner in Russian. She is well-traveled and has lived abroad in four different countries. In her free time, she enjoys reading and long-distance running.

EmailWhitney.Doran@du.edu

Office: 303.871.2324

Project Manager

Hometown: Denver, CO

Education:

B.A. English Literature, Colorado College, 1990

M.A. Theatre Arts, Trinity Rep Conservatory, 1992

M.A. Curriculum and Instruction, University of Colorado, 2007

In addition to managing our center's daily operations, Lisa is involved in voiceover/announcing, ceramics, and stand-up comedy. She is the author of Beyond Mama Bear: How to Survive the Balancing Act of Parenting Teenagers and has published two children’s books. She also writes, edits, and speaks for freelance and contract clients. She has been quoted on raising adolescents in the L.A. Times and on National Public Radio’s Morning Edition.

EmailLisa.Filholm@du.edu

Phone: 303.871.4320

 

Operations & Communications

Hometown: Austin, Texas

Education: 

B.A. Sociology, Certificate in Business, University of Texas

M.A. Global Finance, Trade, and Economic Integration, University of Denver - Josef Korbel School of International Studies

MA, Research Fellow

Hometown: Clinton, New Jersey

Education:

B.A. Rutgers University, Math and Philosophy, 2011

M.A. International Development, University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2014

Steve began working at the Pardee Center in December 2012. After receiving his M.A. in International Development from the Korbel school, Steve worked at the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) in Pretoria, South Africa for a year as a researcher. His research there focused mainly on forecasting the water and energy systems of South Africa and the Southern Africa region.  In January 2015, Steve re-joined our team in Denver as a research system developer, managing the ongoing development and documentation of IFs. He works on documenting, maintaining, extending, and enhancing the International Futures system. He is also in charge of data collection for the model. He also continues to travel internationally to represent the center and plays an active role in projects for USAID, the African Futures Project, NEPAD, and other government clients worldwide.

Email: Steve.Hedden@du.edu

Phone: 303.871.3660

Research System Developer

Dr. Barry B. Hughes is John Evans Professor at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, and was founding Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures.

His principal interests are in (1) global change, (2) computer simulation models for economic, energy, food, population, environmental, and socio-political forecasting, and (3) policy analysis. The fundamental concerns that synthesize these interests are (1) developing effective response to long-term global change and (2) improving the long-term human condition. He developed International Futures (IFs), the widely-used computer simulation for study of long-term national, regional, and global issues (see http://Pardee.du.edu). 

Dr. Hughes supported the U.S. National Intelligence Council's reports to the President on Mapping the Global Futures 2020Global Trends 2025, and Global Trends 2030.  He provided long-term global forecasting for the United Nations Environment Programme's Global Environment Outlook 4. He provided background research papers and forecasting content used in the  United Nations Human Development Reports (2011 and 2013). He was a principal researcher in European Commission projects on the New Economy and on Information and Communications Technology.  He has contributed research to projects of RAND, the Central Intelligence Agency, the United States Institute of Peace,Peru's National Center for Strategic Planning (CEPLAN), and many other organizations.

Dr. Hughes has written or co-authored The Domestic Context of American Foreign Policy (Freeman 1978), World Modeling (Lexington 1980), World Futures (Johns Hopkins 1985), Disarmament and Development (Prentice-Hall 1990), Continuity and Change in World Politics (Prentice-Hall 1991, 1994, 1997, 2000), International Futures (Westview 1993, 1996, 1999), Exploring and Shaping International Futures (Paradigm 2006), Reducing Global Poverty (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2009), Advancing Global Education (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2010), Improving Global Health (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2011), Building Global Infrastructure (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2013), Strengthening Governance Globally (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2014), Exploring and Understanding International Futures: Building Global Model Systems (Elsevier 2018), as well as articles in publications including World Politics, International OrganizationInternational Studies QuarterlyFuturesL'Express, Energy Policy, Policy Studies Review, International Political Science Review, Simulation and Gaming, Economic Development and Cultural Change, Bulletin of the World Health OrganizationSustainabilityPLoS OneClimatic ChangeTechnological Forecasting and Social Change, and World Development

Contact: University of Denver, Denver, Colorado 80208 
Voice: 303.871.2304  
Fax:  303.871.2124
Email: bhughes@du.edu

Senior Scientist & Mentor

Education:

M.S. Dhaka University, Bangladesh, Department of Physics

M.A. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies

Ph.D. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies

Mohammod has worked with IFs since 1999 and has been responsible for developing and expanding core model features, specifically the Education and Government Finance models. Contact Mohammod with questions that relate specifically to education forecasts within IFs, as well as questions about forward linkages from the education model to other models within IFs.

Though he continues to work closely with our team in Denver, he now lives with his wife and family in northern California.

 

Email: mohammod.irfan@du.edu

Phone: 303.871.4479

Research Consultant

Hometown: Kalamazoo, Michigan

Education:

B.A. Philosophy, Politics, and Law, Binghamton University, 2014

M.A. International Development, University of Denver – Josef Korbel School of International Studies

Brendan is interested in sustainable energy development and area potential, international legal systems development and enforcement problems, and complex adaptive systems. He also enjoys reading philosophy, playing piano and guitar, hiking, and camping.

MA, Research Fellow

Position

Pardee Center Director

Assistant Professor 

Education:

B.A. University of Bluffton, Bluffton Ohio, International Business, 2002

M.A. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2007

Ph.D. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2012

Jonathan D. Moyer is Assistant Professor at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies and Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, home of the International Futures (IFs) integrated assessment platform. His work is focused on three core areas related to long-term policy analysis and forecasting: strategic planning, data and tool creation, and the study of state fragility.

As Director, Jonathan leads the Pardee Center’s research team, which uses long-term, integrated policy analysis and forecasting methods to inform the strategic planning efforts of governments, international organizations, and corporations around the world. Recent projects include trends reports, scenario analyses, trainings and IFs development for sponsors such as USAID, the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD), the UN Development Program, the Atlantic Council, Zurich Insurance, the Western Cape provincial government of South Africa, and Arrow Electronics. As part of the Pardee Center’s Diplometrics project, he also oversees the creation of new data and tools that allow for better long-term analysis in international relations. These data and tools, such as Diplodash or the Data Gator, have been used to produce publications such as the US National Intelligence Council Global Trends 2030 report. As an extension to his work with IFs, Jonathan also researches the impact of developmental imbalances on state failure and fragility, and acts as Lead Co-PI on a four-year Minerva-funded research grant on this topic that began in the fall of 2014.

Jonathan has been working with IFs since he started his MA program at the University of Denver in the fall of 2005. In addition to organizations listed above, he has consulted for the European Commission, Government of Kosovo, Government of Slovenia, Institute for Security Studies, and United States Institute of Peace.

EmailJonathan.Moyer@du.edu

Cell Phone:  01.215.872.4927

Office Phone:  01.303.871.2443

 

 

 

Director

Hometown: Pune, Maharashtra, India

Education:

B.A. Commerce and Economics, University of Pune, 2012

M.A. Global Finance, Trade, and Economic Integration, University of Denver – Josef Korbel School of International Studies

Kanishka graduated with an MA in Global Finance, Trade, and Economic Integration in the spring of 2017 with concentrations in quantitative analysis and sustainable development. Kanishka chose the University of Denver specifically because he was interested in the Pardee Center's work on forecasting. He is now interested in exploring methodology for health and demographic modeling. In the summer of 2016, he worked in Pretoria, South Africa at the Institute of Security Studies on behalf of the Pardee Center. Kanishka is interested in ornithology, plays the drums, and enjoys reading in his free time.

 

Emailkanishka.narayan@du.edu

Phone:720.220.5267

Research Associate I

Hometown: Greensboro, NC

Education:

B.A. Economics, Bellarmine University, 2011

M.A. Global Finance, Trade, and Economic Integration, University of Denver – Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2014

Alex Porter is a research consultant at the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver. Until June 2017, he was a research consultant for the African Futures and Innovation Programme at the Institute for Security Studies in Pretoria. Recently, he has written and/or contributed to a number of sector and country specific trends reports and provided long term policy analyses for clients such as USAID, Irish Aid, Western Cape provincial government of South Africa, and the Institute for Security Studies.

Contact: Alex.A.Porter@du.edu

Research Consultant

Education:

B.A. Political Science & International Studies, West Virginia University, 2011

M.A. International Studies, University of Denver, 2013

M.S. Business Analytics, University of Denver, 2017

Mickey Rafa joined the IFs team in December 2011 as a graduate student at Korbel. During his time at the Pardee Center, Mickey has contributed across a variety of research projects that include data creation (measuring membership in intergovernmental organizations across time), exploratory data analysis (evaluating new data on human trafficking by origin, destination, and type), and development trends analysis and forecasting. Mickey’s primary research focus is on the subnational projects of the Pardee Center in South Africa (with the Western Cape Government) and Uganda (with USAID/The Learning Contract). In 2017, Mickey led original research on exploring methods for developing subnational GDP estimates in Uganda using satellite imagery. His current professional interests include data visualization, complex data analysis (including text and geospatial), and using R for various data science applications.

Emailmichael.rafa@du.edu

Phone: 303.871.6673

Assistant Director of Research Operations

Education:

B.S. UCA, El Salvador, Industrial Engineering 1997

M.S. University of Denver, Department of Computer Sciences, 2003

M.S. University of Denver, Department of Finance, 2005

José Solórzano is a Senior Consultant with the Frederick S. Pardee Center. He is a substantive contributor to the modeling code and graphical user interface of both the online and desktop versions of IFs. José has worked with IFs since March of 2001. He has made countless improvements to the usability of IFs and has created specialized display features such as the Packaged Display, Poverty Display, SAM Display, and Sustainable Development Goals dashboards, among others. Academically, José is interested in Financial Modeling and Financial Crisis Analysis.

Contact José if you have technical questions about the IFs model. He lives and works in San Salvador, El Salvador and can be contacted in English, Spanish or French.

Email: jsolorza@du.edu

Lead System Developer