Core Faculty and Staff
Willem Verhagen joined the Pardee Center as a Research Scientist in April 2020. Willem’s
interest in sustainability and land management began when he studied Earth & Economics at
Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam. Since then his focus on sustainability has grown alongside his
research. Willem has published multiple papers on conservation management, highlighting the
importance of human land management on ecosystem protection. One of these papers included
his thesis from Vrije Universiteit’s Institute for Environmental Studies, “Managing Our Land for
Multiple Ecosystem Services: Identifying Priority Areas and Actions to Maintain Ecosystem Services
Since finishing his dissertation, Willem worked with the Netherlands Environmental Assessment
Agency (PBL) to study the global impacts of land degradation on humans and ecosystem services
and opportunities for restoration. At PBL, Willem expanded his modeling abilities by working with
the IMAGE-model, a global integrated assessment model.
Willem brings extensive knowledge on human interactions with land biodiversity and agriculture
to the Pardee Center. His experience facilitates his desire to connect quantitative analyses of
sustainability to understandable policy. Willem hopes his work at the Pardee Center will encourage
effective policy toward environmental and human sustainability. He also looks forward to
exploring more of Colorado through hiking.Research Scientist
Hometown: Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México
Education: B.B.A. Human Resources Management, New Mexico State University, 2016
Anajulia manages business and administrative functions for the Pardee Center, including payroll, human resources, grants and contracts processes, and financial reporting. She is fluent in English and Spanish and in her free time she enjoys reading, cooking, hiking, and skiing.Contract and Business Administrator
Hometown: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
B.S. in Physics and Spanish from Bates College, Lewiston, Maine, 2009
M.A. in Global Finance, Trade and Economic Integration, University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2014
David K. Bohl began working with the Pardee Center in the summer of 2012, when he was a graduate student at Korbel. Since then, he has consulted with several organizations, including the Peruvian Strategic Planning Center (CEPLAN), the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative, the New Partnership for Africa's Development (NEPAD), USAID, the Western Cape Provincial Government of South Africa, and the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). He has been fundamental to the development of a variety of newer sub-models in IFs, including those that forecast the informal economy, bilateral trade, and ICT, and has pioneered the use of network analysis at the center.
Mobile: 724.875.9206Assistant Director of Research
Senior Research Associate
Hometown: Springfield, Missouri
B.A. English, Drury University, 2011
M.A. Josef Korbel School of International Studies, International Development, 2013
Whitney joined our team in 2017 as a project manager, working primarily on the Diplometrics project. In 2020, she transitioned to the role of Assistant Director of Project Operations working across research projects at the Pardee Center. She first became interested in the Pardee Center’s work on human development and stability and conflict during her graduate studies at Korbel. From 2013-2015, Whitney served as a Peace Corps Master’s International Student and worked as a Community and Youth Development Volunteer in Vanadzor, Armenia. While in the Peace Corps, she conducted research on male migration and female labor markets in Armenia. Whitney is proficient in Eastern Armenian, has a working proficiency in Spanish, and is currently learning Russian. She has lived abroad in four different countries and enjoys traveling, reading creative non-fiction, and long-distance running.
Office: 303.871.2324Assistant Director of Project Operations
Hometown: Fort Collins, Colorado
BA, International Studies, University of Denver, 2020
Carole is interested in pursuing a career in International Health, especially in Western Africa. She is learning French and hopes to spend more time in France. She grew up in Colorado and loves the mountains and exploring in nature. She also has been fortunate to travel and would love to incorporate travel into her future career. Most of all she hopes to make an impact through her studies in International Health and Development.Research Fellow
Hometown: Austin, Texas
B.A. Sociology, Certificate in Business, University of Texas
M.A. Global Finance, Trade, and Economic Integration, University of Denver - Josef Korbel School of International StudiesResearch Associate
Dr. Barry B. Hughes is John Evans Professor at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, and was founding Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures.
His principal interests are in (1) global change, (2) computer simulation models for economic, energy, food, population, environmental, and socio-political forecasting, and (3) policy analysis. The fundamental concerns that synthesize these interests are (1) developing effective response to long-term global change and (2) improving the long-term human condition. He developed International Futures (IFs), the widely-used computer simulation for study of long-term national, regional, and global issues (see http://Pardee.du.edu).
Dr. Hughes supported the U.S. National Intelligence Council's reports to the President on Mapping the Global Futures 2020, Global Trends 2025, and Global Trends 2030. He provided long-term global forecasting for the United Nations Environment Programme's Global Environment Outlook 4. He provided background research papers and forecasting content used in the United Nations Human Development Reports (2011 and 2013). He was a principal researcher in European Commission projects on the New Economy and on Information and Communications Technology. He has contributed research to projects of RAND, the Central Intelligence Agency, the United States Institute of Peace,Peru's National Center for Strategic Planning (CEPLAN), and many other organizations.
Dr. Hughes has written or co-authored The Domestic Context of American Foreign Policy (Freeman 1978), World Modeling (Lexington 1980), World Futures (Johns Hopkins 1985), Disarmament and Development (Prentice-Hall 1990), Continuity and Change in World Politics (Prentice-Hall 1991, 1994, 1997, 2000), International Futures (Westview 1993, 1996, 1999), Exploring and Shaping International Futures (Paradigm 2006), Reducing Global Poverty (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2009), Advancing Global Education (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2010), Improving Global Health (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2011), Building Global Infrastructure (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2013), Strengthening Governance Globally (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2014), Exploring and Understanding International Futures: Building Global Model Systems (Elsevier 2018), as well as articles in publications including World Politics, International Organization, International Studies Quarterly, Futures, L'Express, Energy Policy, Policy Studies Review, International Political Science Review, Simulation and Gaming, Economic Development and Cultural Change, Bulletin of the World Health Organization, Sustainability, PLoS One, Climatic Change, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, and World Development.
Contact: University of Denver, Denver, Colorado 80208
Email: email@example.comSenior Scientist & Mentor
M.S. Dhaka University, Bangladesh, Department of Physics
M.A. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies
Ph.D. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies
Mohammod has worked with IFs since 1999 and has been responsible for developing and expanding core model features, specifically the Education and Government Finance models. Contact Mohammod with questions that relate specifically to education forecasts within IFs, as well as questions about forward linkages from the education model to other models within IFs.
Though he continues to work closely with our team in Denver, he now lives with his wife and family in northern California.
Phone: 303.871.4479Research Consultant
Abigail Kabandula is a Zambian born global governance and human security expert. Abigail holds a doctoral degree in Global Governance and Human Security from John W. McCormack Graduate School of Policy and Global Studies at the University of Massachusetts (UMass Boston), dual master’s degrees in Global Governance and Human Security from UMass Boston, and Historical Studies from University of Cape Town (UCT). She also has an Honors Degree in Social Sciences from UCT, and bachelor’s degree from the University of Zambia.
At the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Abigail works as a Research Scientist researching and writing on myriad issues in international development, security, and the environment. Prior to working at the Pardee Center, Abigail worked as a researcher at Centers for Conflict Resolution (CCR) and Social Science Research (CSSR) in Cape Town. In addition, Abigail has worked extensively with non-profit and civil society organizations across Southern Africa through her work as democracy program associate at Heinrich Böll Foundation Southern Africa regional office in Cape Town.
Abigail enjoys bike riding, playing tennis, reading English and African literature, and international travel.Research Scientist
Hometown: Kalamazoo, Michigan
B.A. Philosophy, Politics, and Law, Binghamton University, 2014
M.A. International Development, University of Denver – Josef Korbel School of International Studies
Brendan is interested in sustainable energy development and area potential, international legal systems development and enforcement problems, and complex adaptive systems. He also enjoys reading philosophy, playing piano and guitar, hiking, and camping.Research Consultant
San Antonio, Texas
B.A. in Psychology from Schreiner University, Kerrville, Texas, 2011
M.A. in Political Science from Texas State University, San Marcos, Texas, 2013
M.A. in Political Science from Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, 2016
Ph.D in Political Science from Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, 2018
Austin S. Matthews started as a Research Associate at the Pardee Center in the fall of 2018 and transitioned to the role of Research Scientist in spring of 2020. He received his Ph.D in Political Science from Louisiana State University in May 2018. His dissertation examined the use of targeted repression by dictators against their political allies. Austin was the recipient of a U.S. Department of State Title VIII Fellowship in 2016, which he used to acquire critical languages training in Bosnian/Croatian/Serbian. He has presented original research as a panelist at the Midwest Political Science Association and Southern Political Science Association annual conferences. Austin's work at the Pardee Center focuses on projects examining international security and cooperation.
Email: Austin.Matthews@du.eduResearch Scientist
Hometown: Vermilion, Ohio
A.A.S. in Criminal Justice from the Community College of the Air Force, 2014
B.A. in Political Science from American Military University, 2015
M.P.P. in Public Policy from Georgetown University, 2018
Collin J. Meisel came to the Pardee Center’s Diplometrics Project in the fall of 2018 and transitioned to the role of Diplometrics Program Lead in spring of 2020. Prior to Pardee, Collin researched issues related to chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear terrorism at the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism's (START) Unconventional Weapons and Technology division. Before START, Collin served for 8 years as a Security Forces member in the U.S. Air Force, which included leading and advising security teams for Special Air Missions transporting the Vice President of the United States, First Lady, Secretaries of State and Defense, and other national and military leaders domestically and abroad.
Email: firstname.lastname@example.orgProgram Lead Diplometrics, Research Associate
Pardee Center Director
B.A. University of Bluffton, Bluffton Ohio, International Business, 2002
M.A. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2007
Ph.D. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2012
Jonathan D. Moyer is Assistant Professor at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies and Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, home of the International Futures (IFs) integrated assessment platform. His work is focused on three core areas related to long-term policy analysis and forecasting: strategic planning, data and tool creation, and the study of state fragility.
As Director, Jonathan leads the Pardee Center’s research team, which uses long-term, integrated policy analysis and forecasting methods to inform the strategic planning efforts of governments, international organizations, and corporations around the world. Recent projects include trends reports, scenario analyses, trainings and IFs development for sponsors such as USAID, the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD), the UN Development Program, the Atlantic Council, Zurich Insurance, the Western Cape provincial government of South Africa, and Arrow Electronics. As part of the Pardee Center’s Diplometrics project, he also oversees the creation of new data and tools that allow for better long-term analysis in international relations. These data and tools, such as Diplodash or the Data Gator, have been used to produce publications such as the US National Intelligence Council Global Trends 2030 report. As an extension to his work with IFs, Jonathan also researches the impact of developmental imbalances on state failure and fragility, and acts as Lead Co-PI on a four-year Minerva-funded research grant on this topic that began in the fall of 2014.
Jonathan has been working with IFs since he started his MA program at the University of Denver in the fall of 2005. In addition to organizations listed above, he has consulted for the European Commission, Government of Kosovo, Government of Slovenia, Institute for Security Studies, and United States Institute of Peace.
Cell Phone: 01.215.872.4927
Office Phone: 01.303.871.2443Director, Assistant Professor
Hometown: Hillsdale, New York
B.A. in English/Journalism from University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware, 1987
M.S. in Applied Science from New York University, New York, 1993
Ph.D. in Earth Systems Science from New York University, New York, 1996
Brian O’Neill is a Professor at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies at the University of Denver. He also serves as Director of Research at the Korbel School’s Pardee Center for International Futures. Brian holds a Ph.D. in Earth Systems Science and an M.S. in Applied Science, both from New York University. His research interests are in human-environment interactions, in particular the relationship between future societal development, greenhouse gas emissions, and climate change impacts. He has led research groups on Integrated Assessment Modeling and on Climate and Human Systems at the US National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), and on Population and Climate Change at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA). Brian is a Convening Lead Author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s ongoing Sixth Assessment Report. He is also the lead author of Population and Climate Change, published by Cambridge University Press.
Email: Brian.ONeill@du.eduDirector of Research, Professor
B.A. Political Science & International Studies, West Virginia University, 2011
M.A. International Studies, University of Denver, 2013
M.S. Business Analytics, University of Denver, 2017
Mickey Rafa joined the IFs team in December 2011 as a graduate student at Korbel. During his time at the Pardee Center, Mickey has contributed across a variety of research projects that include data creation (measuring membership in intergovernmental organizations across time), exploratory data analysis (evaluating new data on human trafficking by origin, destination, and type), and development trends analysis and forecasting. Mickey’s primary research focus is on the subnational projects of the Pardee Center in South Africa (with the Western Cape Government) and Uganda (with USAID/The Learning Contract). In 2017, Mickey led original research on exploring methods for developing subnational GDP estimates in Uganda using satellite imagery. His current professional interests include data visualization, complex data analysis (including text and geospatial), and using R for various data science applications.
Phone: 303.871.6673Assistant Director of Research Operations
B.S. UCA, El Salvador, Industrial Engineering 1997
M.S. University of Denver, Department of Computer Sciences, 2003
M.S. University of Denver, Department of Finance, 2005
José Solórzano is a Senior Consultant with the Frederick S. Pardee Center. He is a substantive contributor to the modeling code and graphical user interface of both the online and desktop versions of IFs. José has worked with IFs since March of 2001. He has made countless improvements to the usability of IFs and has created specialized display features such as the Packaged Display, Poverty Display, SAM Display, and Sustainable Development Goals dashboards, among others. Academically, José is interested in Financial Modeling and Financial Crisis Analysis.
Contact José if you have technical questions about the IFs model. He lives and works in San Salvador, El Salvador and can be contacted in English, Spanish or French.
Email: email@example.comLead System Developer
Hometown: Nanchang City, Jiangxi Province, China
BS, Mathematics, Hunan University 2014
MA, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia 2017
PhD Research Methods and Statistics, University of Denver, Morgridge College of Education, expected Spring 2021
Xiong Yutang began working with the Pardee Center as a Research Aide in the summer of 2018 and joined the International Futures (IFs) Data Team as the Data Operations Manager in Fall 2019. He received his B.S. in Mathematics from Hunan University in China and his M.A. in Statistics from the University of Missouri-Columbia. He is currently pursuing a Ph.D. in Research Methods and Statistics from the Morgridge College of Education at the University of Denver.
Yutang’s research interests lie in various areas and one of his current focuses is missing data analysis, especially within multilevel non-normal models. At the Pardee Center, he serves as a data expert maintaining data updates and providing data tools for research needs.
Email: Yutang.Xiong@du.eduData Operations Manager