The PPHP series is the flagship publication of the Pardee Center. Conceptualized and funded by Frederick S. Pardee, the series uses the International Futures modeling system to explore prospects for human development by country, region, and globally to the year 2060. Each volume in the series considers a key aspect of human development, how that aspect has evolved globally and locally over time, how it appears it might unfold over coming decades in a Base Case scenario, how we might prefer it to evolve, and how we can better ensure that it moves in desired directions going forward. The volumes, published by Paradigm Publishers and Oxford University Press India, are available for free download below. The five volumes in the series are: Reducing Global Poverty (2009), Advancing Global Education (2010), Improving Global Health (2011), Building Global Infrastructure (2014), and Strengthening Governance Globally (2014).
Each of the five volumes concludes with a table of country and regional forecasts covering population, poverty and income, health, education, infrastructure, and governance variables. These tables represent the output of the IFs Base Case scenario generated by the respective versions of IFs used in the preparation of each of the volumes (from Version 5.17 in the poverty volume to Version 6.68 in the governance volume). Additional end tables in the same format as those in the volumes are also available on this website. The additional tables (1) update the Base Case forecasts using IFs Version 7.02 (February 2014); and (2) present the forecast results generated by the alternative scenarios explored in each volume (also using IFs Version 7.02).
Click on the links associated with each volume to download the full text with the original Base Case end tables, and sets of the end tables (both Base Case and alternate scenarios) using a more recent version of the IFs model (Version 7.02 from February 2014). Also included are summary and detailed scenario annotations of assumptions and scenario drivers used throughout the volumes. In addition, you will find an Executive Summary for each volume except the first.