Difference between revisions of "Guide to Scenario Analysis in International Futures (IFs)"

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(Created page with "= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Introduction</span> = == <span style="font-size:x-large;">A Note on Parameter Names<br/></span> == == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Ty...")
 
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= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Introduction</span> =
 
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Introduction</span> =
  
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">A Note on Parameter Names<br/></span> ==
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== <span style="font-size:x-large;">A Note on Parameter Names</span> ==
  
 
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Types of Parameters in IFs</span> ==
 
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Types of Parameters in IFs</span> ==
  
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Manipulating Parameters in IFs<br/></span> ==
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== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Manipulating Parameters in IFs</span> ==
  
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Keys to Successfully Modifying Parameters in IFs<br/></span> ==
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== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Keys to Successfully Modifying Parameters in IFs</span> ==
  
 
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> ==
 
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> ==
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= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Demographic Module</span> =
 
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Demographic Module</span> =
  
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest<br/></span> ==
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== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> ==
  
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Fertility<br/></span> ==
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== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Fertility</span> ==
  
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Mortality<br/></span> ==
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== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Mortality</span> ==
  
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Migration<br/></span> ==
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== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Migration</span> ==
  
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Working Age<br/></span> ==
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== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Working Age</span> ==
  
 
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> ==
 
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> ==
  
<font size="6"></font>
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= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Health Module</span> =
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Overall Health and Burden of Disease</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters that Affect Communicable Diseases</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters that Affect Non-Communicable Disease</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters that Affect Injuries and Accidents</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Technology</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> ==
 +
 
 +
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">HIV/AIDS Submodule</span> =
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Prevalence</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Mortality</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> ==
 +
 
 +
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Education Module</span> =
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Annual Growth</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Target Year for Universal Education</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Multiplier</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Education Spending</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Gender Parity</span> ==
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> ==
 +
 
 +
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Economic Module</span> =
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> ==
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Production and Growth</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Domestic Financial Flows and the Social Accounting System</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Trade and International Finance</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect the Informal Economy</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span>
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;"></span>
 +
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Infrastructure Module</span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> =
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> ==
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Infrastructure</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Funding</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span>
 +
 
 +
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Agriculture Module</span> =
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Demand</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Supply (Production)</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Nutrition</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span>
 +
 
 +
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Energy Module</span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> =
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> ==
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Demand</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Supply</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span>
 +
 
 +
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Environment Module</span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> =
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> ==
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters&nbsp;Affecting Carbon</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting Water Resources</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting Air Pollution</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span>
 +
 
 +
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Governance Module</span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> =
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> ==
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Security</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Capacity</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Inclusiveness</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span>
 +
 
 +
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">International Politics Module</span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> =
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> ==
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters&nbsp;Affecting Power</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting Threat Levels</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting War Simulation</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting Diplomacy</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span>
 +
 
 +
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Parameter Dictionary</span> =
 +
 
 +
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Population</span> ==
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Health</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">HIV/AIDS</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Education</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Economics</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Infrastructure</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Agriculture</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Energy</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Environment</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Governance</span>
 +
 
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;">International Politics</span>
 +
<span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span>

Revision as of 23:48, 24 August 2017

Contents

Introduction

A Note on Parameter Names

Types of Parameters in IFs

Manipulating Parameters in IFs

Keys to Successfully Modifying Parameters in IFs

Prepackaged Scenarios

Demographic Module

Variables of Interest

Parameters to Affect Fertility

Parameters to Affect Mortality

Parameters to Affect Migration

Parameters to Affect Working Age

Prepackaged Scenarios

Health Module

Variables of Interest

Parameters to Affect Overall Health and Burden of Disease

Parameters that Affect Communicable Diseases

Parameters that Affect Non-Communicable Disease

Parameters that Affect Injuries and Accidents

Parameters to Affect Technology

Prepackaged Scenarios

HIV/AIDS Submodule

Variables of Interest

Parameters to Affect Prevalence

Parameters to Affect Mortality

Prepackaged Scenarios

Education Module

Variables of Interest

Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Annual Growth

Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Target Year for Universal Education

Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Multiplier

Parameters to Affect Education Spending

Parameters to Affect Gender Parity

Prepackaged Scenarios

Economic Module

Variables of Interest

Parameters to Affect Production and Growth

Parameters to Affect Domestic Financial Flows and the Social Accounting System

Parameters to Affect Trade and International Finance

Parameters to Affect the Informal Economy

Prepackaged Scenarios

Infrastructure Module

Variables of Interest

Parameters to Affect Infrastructure

Parameters to Affect Funding

Prepackaged Scenarios

Agriculture Module

Variables of Interest

Parameters to Affect Demand

Parameters to Affect Supply (Production)

Parameters to Affect Nutrition

Prepackaged Scenarios

Energy Module

Variables of Interest

Parameters to Affect Demand

Parameters to Affect Supply

Prepackaged Scenarios

Environment Module

Variables of Interest

Parameters Affecting Carbon

Parameters Affecting Water Resources

Parameters Affecting Air Pollution

Prepackaged Scenarios

Governance Module

Variables of Interest

Parameters to Affect Security

Parameters to Affect Capacity

Parameters to Affect Inclusiveness

Prepackaged Scenarios

International Politics Module

Variables of Interest

Parameters Affecting Power

Parameters Affecting Threat Levels

Parameters Affecting War Simulation

Parameters Affecting Diplomacy

Prepackaged Scenarios

Parameter Dictionary

Population

Health

HIV/AIDS

Education

Economics

Infrastructure

Agriculture

Energy

Environment

Governance

International Politics