Our Annual Review highlights projects, transitions and accomplishments of the academic year. This issue celebrates 40 years of IFs with a retrospective by our founder Barry Hughes.
Research Associate David K. Bohl was a panelist at the 38th International Symposium on Forecasting in Boulder, Colorado. His session, “Global Forecasting: the International Futures Model” was part of the forecasting practice session, which introduced participants to the IFs model. The Pardee Center was a contributing sponsor of the symposium.
Project Manager Whitney Doran and Research Associate II Andrew Scott presented on the Diplometrics project in DU Professor Keith Gehring’s undergraduate International Futures course. They introduced the goals of the Diplometrics Project and showed students where they can access the Pardee Center’s public Diplometrics datasets and visualization platforms.
Director Jonathan D. Moyer presented to the Washington DC office of USAID’s Latin America and Caribbean regional office on ongoing analysis of education, labor, violence, and migration in Central America.
On April 4, Director Jonathan Moyer presented a paper on “Human Trafficking, War, and Social Disruption and Change” at the International Studies Association 2018 Annual Convention in San Francisco, CA. The paper is co-authored by Assistant Professor Oliver Kaplan and Pardee Center Assistant Director of Research Operations Mickey Rafa.
Director Jonathan Moyer, Research Consultant Alex Porter, Research Associate II Andrew Scott, and Lead Systems Developer Jose Solorzano visited Guatemala and Honduras in support of the Pardee Center’s ongoing work in partnership with USAID Latin America and the Caribbean Office of Regional Sustainable Development (LAC/RSD) and Mathematica Policy Research. These research efforts seek to understa
Research System Developer Hedden has spent much of 2018 serving as a coordinating lead author for the “Outlooks” section of the UN Environmental Programme’s (UNEP) sixth Global Environmental Outlook report (GEO-6). The goal of the report is to understand the current state and trends of the environment, and to inform the international community on policies to meet environmental objectives.
On January 25, Mickey Rafa taught a hands-on session to Professor Aaron Schneider's Data Analysis for Development class, introducing graduate students to the International Futures (IFs) model and how it can be used to explore historical data, discover relationships among variables, and build quantitative models.
An article in ISS Today by Julia Bello-Schünemann and Pardee Center Director Jonathan D. Moyer uses five distinct models from the International Futures model (IFs) to explore possible trajectories of political instability in sub-Saharan Africa until 2040.
On April 20, Mickey Rafa presented “Using Nighttime Lights for Poverty Analysis in Uganda” at the Spring Meeting of the Colorado-Wyoming Chapter of the American Statistical Association in Boulder, Colorado. This research, which was sponsored by The Learning Contract (USAID-Uganda), explores the effectiveness of nighttime lights in evaluating poverty at small geographic scales.