Our center has supported the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in the development of its Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) forecasts, as a member of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium. We have collected SSP forecasts and included them for comparison with our Base Case and other scenarios in all recent version of IFs. On the shoulders of this effort we also collaborated with the United Nations University's Institute for Environment and Human Security on a publication in Climatic Change that uses IFs to explore climate change and disaster risk.
The Pardee Center has a long-term relationship with the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD) to support the organization's efforts to develop a long-term growth and development plan for countries within the African Union. To set the foundation for our collaboration, our team provided a series of hands-on trainings for officials in the region and coauthored a report on the organization's Agenda 2063 targets. More recently, we published research and forecasts related to food security on the continent.
Under sponsorship of the European Commission's Fifth Framework Programme (1998-2002) RAND Europe led a large consortium of partners in a long-term forecasting project called TERRA. The IFs team was invited to join the European members of that consortium and to provide the integrated, long-term modeling and forecasting foundation for it.
Our team has provided support to the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) in a number of ways. Most recently, we expanded our ability to measure and visualize each country’s progress over time in achieving the SDGs, adding two additional specialized displays in IFs that allow users to forecast the path of SDG achievement across targets to 2030. IFs is also featured in the UN Development Group’s online SDG Acceleration Toolkit. Previously, our team presented IFs to the organization’s analysts, partners and other data-oriented stakeholders in both Nairobi and New York. The UNDP has also solicited research papers using IFs that provided input used in the 2011 and 2013 Human Development Reports (HDR). The research in support of the 2011 HDR focused on environmental constraints to human development. The research in support of the 2013 report modeled the impact of aggressive but reasonable policy interventions across thematic issue areas.
The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) produces Global Environment Outlook (GEO) reports under its charge from the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development. The IFs team participated actively in the preparation of GEO 4, released in 2007. In 2017, the UNEP invited our Research System Developer Steve Hedden to participate as a coordinating lead author of the “Outlooks” chapter of the upcoming sixth Global Environmental Outlook (GEO 6). Jonathan D. Moyer and Barry Hughes will also participate as authors. In both GEO 4 and in the upcoming GEO 6, forecasts from IFs help integrate forecasts from other contributing groups in the project.
As a successor to the Millennium Development Goal of reducing extreme poverty by 50 percent before 2015, the global community is rapidly moving toward setting a goal of eliminating it by 2030 (using 3 percent as a target for effective elimination). That goal appears very likely beyond the reach of fragile and conflict-afflicted states. The Pardee Center has collaborated with the World Bank's Center on Conflict, Security, and Development to forecast probable and possible levels of poverty in those states and to explore interventions that might accelerate reduction, even if the 3 percent poverty level does not appear attainable.