Third Party Publications

This section lists publications using or referring to the International Futures modeling system that are authored solely by researchers and analysts not formally affiliated with the Pardee Center. The types of publications of which we are aware include books and book chapters, a dissertation, journal articles, reports, and, while not publications strictly speaking, conference presentations and working papers.

We are always interested in learning about and adding to this list other publications and presentations that have not yet come to our attention.

Book Chapters

Title Author Publication Date Publication
Poverty, Growth, and Inequality over the Next 50 Years Evan Hillebrand 2011

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

Books

Title Author Publication Date Publication
Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures: Eight Long-Range Scenarios Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson 2015

MIT Press

Conference Papers & Proceedings

Title Author Publication Date Publication
(R)EVOLUTION Strategic Studies Network 2014

Strategic Studies Summit

How Will Future Oil Prices Affect Geopolitics Evan Hillebrand 2008

International Studies Association Annual Convention

Levels of Meaning and Levels of Analysis: Exploring Micro-Macro, Local-Global Interface Problems with the International Futures Simulation (IFs), Using Hawaii as an Exemplar Richard W. Chadwick 2005

International Studies Association Conference

Dissertations

Title Author Publication Date Publication
Geopolitics and the Measurement of National Power Karl Hermann Höhn 2011

University of Hamburg

Journal Articles

Title Author Publication Date Publication
Impacts and Mitigation of Excess Diesel-Related NOx Emissions in 11 Major Vehicle Markets Susan C. Anenberg, Joshua Miller, Ray Minjares 2017

Nature

The Impact of Temporary Migration on Source Countries Nicola Cantore and Massimiliano Cali 2015

International Migration Review

U.S. – Iran Rapprochement: A Counterintuitive Alternative to Thirty-five Years of Distrust Dan McCauley 2014

Small Wars Journal

Co-Benefits of Mitigating Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Future Air Quality and Human Health via Two Mechanisms Jason J. West, Steven J. Smith, Raquel A. Silva, Vaishali Naik, Yuqiang Zhang, Zachariah Adelman, Meridith M. Fry, et al. 2013

Nature Climate Change

Sustainability of the Energy Sector in the Mediterranean Region Nicola Cantore 2012

Energy

Using the International Futures Global Modeling System (IFs) for Alternative Scenarios by the Numbers Roy Pearson 2011

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting

Deglobalization Scenarios: Who Wins? Who Loses? Evan Hillebrand 2010

Global Economy Journal

The Global Distribution of Income in 2050 Evan Hillebrand 2008

World Development

Modelling ICT as a General Purpose Technology: Evaluation Models and Tools for Assessment of Innovation and Sustainable Development at the EU Level Paolo Guerrieri and Pier Carlo Padoan 2007

Collegium 

Power Shifts and Economic Development: When Will China Overtake the USA? Emilio Casetti 2003

Journal of Peace Research

Reports

Title Author Publication Date Publication
Economía informal en Perú: Situación actual y perspectivas CEPLAN 2016

Centro Nacional de Planeamiento Estratégico

Future of the Pacific Alliance: Integration for productive growth PwC Mexico 2016

PwC Mexico

Modelo International Futures: Fundamentos, Adaptaćion y Uso para el Planeamiento Estratégico del Perú CEPLAN 2015 Update

Centro Nacional de Planeamiento Estratégico

Pronósticos y escenarios: Educación en el Perú al 2030. La aplicación del modelo International Futures CEPLAN 2015

Centro Nacional de Planeamiento Estratégico

La Educación del Futuro y el Futuro de la Educación CEPLAN 2014

Centro Nacional de Planeamiento Estratégico

Modelo International Futures: Fundamentos, Adaptaćion y Uso para el Planeamiento Estratégico del Perú CEPLAN 2014

Centro Nacional de Planeamiento Estratégico

The Chronic Poverty Report 2014−2015: The Road to Zero Extreme Poverty Andrew Shepherd, Lucy Scott, Chiara Mariotti, Flora Kessy, Raghav Gaiha, Lucia da Corta, Katharina Hanifnia, et al. 2014

Overseas Development Institute

Climate Change Adaptation and Low-Emission Development Strategy for Bosnia and Herzegovina Svjetlana Radusin, Senad Opraṥiḉ, Mehmed Cero, Isak Abdurahmanoviḉ, and Goran Vukmir 2013

United Nations Development Programme

The Geography of Poverty, Disasters and Climate Extremes in 2030 Andrew Shepherd, Tom Mitchell, Kirsty Lewis, Amanda Lenhardt, Lindsey Jones, Lucy Scott, and Robert Muir-Wood. 2013

Overseas Development Institute

Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds US NIC 2012

United States National Intelligence Council

The Impact of Circular Migration on Source Countries: A Simulation Exercise Massimiliano Cali and Nicola Cantore 2011

Overseas Development Institute

Trends in Connectivity Technologies and their Socio-Economic Impacts Jonathan Cave, Constantijn van Oranje-Nassau, Helen Rebecca Schindler, Ala’a. Shehabi, Philipp-Bastian Brutscher, and Neil. Robinson 2009

RAND Europe

Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World US NIC 2008

United States National Intelligence Council

Global Environment Outlook (GEO) 4: Environment for Development UNEP 2007

United Nations Environment Programme

Mapping the Global Future US NIC 2004

United States National Intelligence Council

Working Papers

Title Author Publication Date Publication
Getting to Zero: A Discussion on Ending Extreme Poverty USAID 2013

United States Agency for International Development

Future Paths of Poverty: A Scenario Analysis with Integrated Assessment Models Nicola Cantore 2011

Overseas Development Institute

Biodiversity and Land Use in Central Asia Walter Kehl 2008

Unpublished paper

Korea 2020, National Security Futures, Development, Democracy and Choices: Building a Korea Peace Structure Richard W. Chadwick 2006

University of Hawaii