Envisioning a Healthy Future: Africa's Shifting Burden of Disease

Narayan, Kanishka and Zachary Donnenfeld. October 2016. "Envisioning a Healthy Future: Africa's Shifting Burden of Disease." African Futures Paper No. 18. Institute for Security Studies and Pardee Center for International Futures, Pretoria, South Africa, and Denver, Colorado, USA.

Africa has the highest prevalence of communicable diseases in the world. In 2015, more than three times as many people died from AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa, and more than ten times as many people died from malaria as in the rest of the world combined. Non-communicable diseases are also increasing on the continent. This paper uses the International Futures forecasting system to explore the effects on human development of Africa’s achieving targets 3.3 and 3.4 of the Sustainable Development Goals: respectively, eradication of selected communicable diseases, and a reduction in premature deaths from non-communicable diseases by one-third by 2030.

 

 

Content Type: AFP Paper
Authors: Kanishka Narayan and Zachary Donnenfeld
Date Published: 2016
Access Document: http://pardee.du.edu/sites/default/files/AF18.pdf
Source: Institute for Security Studies and Pardee Center for International Futures