Core Faculty and Staff

 

EDUCATION:

B.S. in Physics and Spanish from Bates College, Lewiston, Maine, 2009

M.A. in Global Finance, Trade and Economic Integration, University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2014

Background:

Dave began working with the Pardee Center in the summer of 2012. Since then he has worked closely with the Peruvian Strategic Planning Center (CEPLAN) to increase their forecasting capabilities for use in the country's 2030 Plan and 2050 Vision, with a particular focus on developing a dynamic representation the informal economy. His other focuses include the development of a crowd-sourced data analytics platform (the DataGator), intelligence community projects aimed at creating a quantitative space for the measurement and analysis of international relation, and work extending the modeling and forecasting capabilities of the IFs model to better assess the risks and benefits we face in a world increasingly reliant on ICT and Cyber technologies. 

Additionally, David has consulted for the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative (SFI), and contributed to projects for many other agencies and organizations, including the New Partnership for African Development (NEPAD), the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the Western Cape Provincial Government of South Africa, and the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB).
 
David grew up outside of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and studied Physics and Spanish as an undergraduate at Bates College in Lewiston, Maine.

 

Contact:

Emaildavidkbohl@gmail.com

Phone: 724.875.9206

Research Associate II

Education

B.B.A. University of Wisconsin – Eau Claire, 2010

M.A. Candidate, University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, Global Finance, Trade and Economic Integration, 20153

Drew Bowlsby graduated from University of Wisconsin – Eau Claire in 2010 where he studied business economics and worked as a researcher for the UWEC economics department. He also had the opportunity to teach English in Japan with the Guy Healy program. Before starting at Korbel, he spent 2 years with the Saint Paul Public School Foundation, where he started and managed a tutoring program at a High School.

Drew is pursuing a M.A. in Global Finance, Trade and Economic Integration with a concentration in quantitative methods. His interest in quantitative analysis and research led him to work as a research assistant at the Pardee Center.

Contact: drew.bowlsby@gmail.com

Research Associate I

Hometown: Denver, CO

Education:

B.A. English Literature, Colorado College, 1990

M.A. Theatre Arts, Trinity Rep Conservatory, 1992

M.A. Curriculum & Instruction, University of Colorado, 2007

Lisa is involved in voiceover/announcing, ceramics, and stand-up comedy. She has published two children’s books. She also writes, edits, and speaks for freelance and contract clients. She has recently been quoted on raising adolescents in the L.A. Times and on National Public Radio’s Morning Edition.

Operations & Communications

Education:

B.A. Rutgers University, Math and Philosophy, 2011

M.A. Candidate, University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, International Development, 2014

Background:

Steve began working at the Pardee Center in December 2012. Steve’s work at the center has focused mainly on the energy and water modules of the International Futures forecasting model.

Recently, Steve was a co-author on a policy brief for the African Futures Project, a collaboration between the Pardee Center and the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) in South Africa. The brief analyzed the costs and benefits of the development of South Africa’s shale gas resources. Steve has also managed the development of several software projects for the center including this website and the block diagram which can be accessed from the Understand page.

Steve is currently working on improving the water module of IFs by incorporating forecasts for water demand by sector and water supply by source. Steve is also managing the development of BuzzChurn 2.0, a news-feed scraper that performs content analysis and measures state instability in real time.

Contact: steve.hedden@du.edu

Research System Developer

Dr. Hughes is both the founder of and a senior scientist at the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures and is John Evans Professor at the Josef Korbel School for International Studies at the University of Denver. His principal research interests are in the areas of (1) global change, (2) computer simulation models for economic, energy, food, population, environmental, and socio-political forecasting, and (3) policy analysis. The fundamental concerns that synthesize these various interests are (1) developing effective response to long-term global change and (2) improving the long-term human condition. He has developed a widely used computer simulation called International Futures (IFs) for study of long-term issues by students and policy makers.

Education

B.S. Stanford University, Department of Mathematics, 1967

M.A. University of Minnesota, Department of Political Science, 1969

Ph.D. University of Minnesota, Department of Political Science, 1970

Dr. Barry B. Hughes is John Evans Professor at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, and Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures.  He served the university as Vice Provost for Graduate Studies during the 1990s.  Dr. Hughes earned a B.S. in Mathematics from Stanford in 1967 (distinction) and his Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of Minnesota in 1970.

His principal interests are in (1) global change, (2) computer simulation models for economic, energy, food, population, environmental, and socio-political forecasting, and (3) policy analysis.  The fundamental concerns that synthesize these interests are (1) developing effective response to long-term global change and (2) improving the long-term human condition.  He has developed International Futures (IFs), the widely used computer simulation for study of long-term national, regional, and global issues.  He has supported the U.S. National Intelligence Council's reports to the President on Mapping the Global Futures 2020Global Trends 2025,and Global Trends 2030.  He provided long-term global forecasting for the United Nations Environment Programme's Global Environment Outlook 4. He was a principal researcher in European Commission projects on the New Economy and on Information and Communications Technology.  He has contributed research to projects of RAND, the Central Intelligence Agency, the United Nations Human Development Report, United States Institute of Peace, and many other organizations.

Dr. Hughes has taught in Costa Rica and China.  He has written or co-authored The Domestic Context of American Foreign Policy(Freeman 1978), World Modeling (Lexington 1980), World Futures (Johns Hopkins 1985), Disarmament and Development (Prentice-Hall 1990), Continuity and Change in World Politics (Prentice-Hall 1991, 1994, 1997, 2000), International Futures (Westview 1993, 1996, 1999), Exploring and Shaping International Futures (Paradigm 2006), Reducing Global Poverty (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2009), Advancing Global Education (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2010), Improving Global Health (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2011), as well as articles in publications including World Politics, International OrganizationInternational Studies QuarterlyFuturesL'Express, Energy Policy, Policy Studies Review, International Political Science Review, Simulation and Gaming, Economic Development and Cultural Change, and Technological Forecasting and Social Change.  His co-authored manuscriptStrengthening Governance Globally will be published in 2013.           

Contact: University of Denver, Denver, Colorado 80208 
Voice: 303.871.2304  
Fax:  303.871.2124
Email: bhughes@du.edu

Senior Scientist & Mentor

Education:

M.S. Dhaka University, Bangladesh, Department of Physics

M.A. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies

Ph.D. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies

Background:

Mohammod has worked with the IFs model for over 12 years and has been responsible for developing important core features in the model, but he is specifically responsible for the enhanced Education Model. Mohammod’s interests are specific to the modeling of human capital, especially education. Mohammod started working with the IFs model in Fall 1999 and has been responsible for important changes throughout the model, and is specifically responsible for the enhanced Education Model. The Education Model simulates educational flows and the resultant human capital stocks for 182 countries for alternative assumptions about uncertainties and interventions over the full time horizon of the IFs model. Additionally, Mohammod has worked on developing core features of the standalone version and played an advising role as the standalone version was moved onto the web. Mohammod's academic interests are specific to the modeling of human capital, especially education. Contact Mohammod with questions that relate specifically to education forecasts within IFs as well as questions about forward linkages from the education model to other models within IFs.

Contact:

University of Denver, Denver, Colorado 80208

Email: mohammod.irfan@du.edu

Research Scientist

Education

B.S. Business Administration with concentrations in Finance and International Business and Economics– The University of New Hampshire, 2013

M.A., University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, Global Finance, Trade and Economic Integration, 2015

Background

John graduated from the University of New Hampshire in 2009. During his time at UNH, he held two accounting internships and was a microeconomics teaching assistant. He also spent a semester in Rome, Italy at John Cabot University. After graduation, John taught English in Daegu, South Korea for a year and spent time traveling throughout Southeast Asia. Afterwards, he became a financial representative with a large investment firm. He currently holds his Series 7 license. During this time, he became familiar with financial markets and security transactions.

John is pursuing a M.A. in Global Finance, Trade and Economic Integration with concentrations in International Political Economy and Quantitative Analysis. He is also currently an intern with the Colorado Office of Economic Development and International Trade’s International Trade office where he performs research for foreign direct investment into Colorado and exports out.  His interests in quantitative analysis and international politics are why he pursued a position at The Pardee Center.

Contact: jmcphee625@yahoo.com

Research Associate II

Position

Pardee Center Director

Assistant Professor 

Education

B.A. University of Bluffton, Bluffton Ohio, International Business, 2002

M.A. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2007

Ph.D. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2012

Jonathan D. Moyer is Research Assistant Professor at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies and Associate Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. He works in three areas, all of which extend and use the International Futures (IFs) integrated assessment platform. Jonathan aids the strategic planning efforts of various countries, international organizations, and corporations. This funded research has supported analysis for groups like the Arrow Electronics, New Partnership for African Development, USAID, and the Western Cape provincial government of South Africa. He also leads the creation of new data and tools to better understand and analyze international relations theory. This funded research has supported the creation of many new data series including contributions to documents such as the U.S. National Intelligence Council Global Trends 2030 report. Jonathan also researches the impact of developmental imbalances on state failure and fragility. He is Lead Co-PI on a three-year Minerva-funded research grant that began in the fall of 2014.

Jonathan has been working with IFs since he started his MA program at the University of Denver in the fall of 2005. In addition to organizations listed above, he has consulted for the European Commission, Government of Kosovo, Government of Slovenia, Institute for Security Studies, and United States Institute of Peace.

 

Contact Info:  University of Denver, Denver, Colorado 80208 

Cell Phone:  01-215-872-4927

Office Phone:  01-303-871-2443

Email: jonathanmoyer@gmail.com

 

Director

Education

  • M.S. Candidate. Business Analytics, University of Denver, expected 2016.
  • M.A. International Studies, University of Denver, 2013.
  • B.A. Political Science & International Studies, West Virginia University, 2011.

Mickey Rafa joined the IFs team in December 2011 as a Research Assistant. In the summer 2012, he was involved in the Diplometrics project, which sought to measure the membership of international governmental organizations over time. Mickey began work with the sub-national forecasting project with the Western Cape Provincial Government in South Africa in the fall of 2012. Mickey became a full-time staff member at the Pardee Center in November 2013. Mickey’s current professional interests include developing business intelligence tools, public health, and geospatial analysis.

Contact: mrafa3.du@gmail.com

Financial & Program Officer

Education:

M.A. University of Denver, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, Global Finance, Trade and Economic Integration, 2014

B.A. Georgetown University, Washington, DC, English and Latin American Studies, 2009

Background:

Jess worked at the Pardee Center from August 2012 to June 2014 as a Research Assistant and rejoined the team in June 2016 as a Research Consultant. With a background in journalism, copywriting and brand strategy, Jess contributes to the center's research and analysis, project management, strategic planning and communications efforts.

Jess was a Sié Chéou-Kang Fellow at the Korbel School of International Studies, where she earned her master's degree in Global Finance, Trade and Economic Integration, with a concentration in Global Brand Management. As a Research Assistant at Pardee, she was responsible for the center's communications and contributed to African Futures Project policy briefs and a technical report for the African Union's New Partnership for Africa's Development. After graduating from Korbel, she worked at a Sydney-based B2B digital creative agency, Bang Australia, managing integrated marketing campaigns and brand development projects for global and regional ICT and financial services clients including Microsoft, IBM, Dimension Data, Ingram Micro, J.P. Morgan, Moore Stephens and Vocus Communications.

Previously, Jess was a reporter on the politics and policy team at U.S. News & World Report in Washington, DC, where she reported on national issues such as energy, environment, foreign affairs, and federal elections. She has also contributed to various other domestic and international publications, including World Politics ReviewWhite House Bulletin and Daily Finance, and served as Treasurer and Fellowship Chair on the Board of Directors for the Journalism and Women Symposium.

Email: jessica.rettig@du.edu

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jessicarettig

Research Consultant

Hometown: Ijamsville, MD

Education:

B.A. International Relations, College of William and Mary, 2011

M.A. Global Finance, Trade, and Economic Integration, University of Denver – Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2016

Andrew has regional interests in East Asia policy and Sino-U.S. relations. He is an author in the paper, “The Selamat Datang Project: A Program to Empower Indonesia’s Returned Migrant Workers.” He was originally drawn to the Pardee Center because of its policy relevance and interaction with historical issues. He enjoys recreations sports, reading, language study, and hiking.

Research Associate I

Hometown: Washington, D.C.

Education:

B.A. Economics, University of Maryland, 2009

M.A. Global Finance, Trade, and Economic Integration, University of Denver – Josef Korbel School of International Studies, 2016

Harry has specializations in Quantitative Methods & Econometrics as well as International Economics. He is an author on the papers, “The Selamat Datang Project: A Program to Empower Indonesia’s Returning Migrant Workers,” and “Supply Chain Finance and SMEs: Evidence from International Factoring Data.” He is a member of the United States Fencing Association and enjoys playing chess.

Research Consultant

José Solóranzo is a Senior Consultant with the Frederick S. Pardee Center. He is a substantive contributor to the code and graphical interface of the standalone version and to the developed of the web version of IFs. He lives and works in San Salvador, El Salvador.

Education

B.S. UCA, El Salvador, Industrial Engineering 1997

M.S. University of Denver, Department of Computer Sciences, 2003

M.S. University of Denver, Department of Finance, 2005

Background

José has worked with IFs since March of 2001 making substantive changes to both the standalone version of the software and being responsible for the transformation of this standalone version to a web version. He has also been a key contributor to improvements made to the graphical user interface (GUI) allowing for display features such as the Packaged Display, Poverty Display and SAM Display, among others, to be available. Academically, José is interested in Financial Modeling and Financial Crisis Analysis. He can be contacted if you have technical or implementation questions as to how to use the IFs model, or about the forthcoming Health Model that is currently being incorporated into IFs. He lives in San Salvador, El Salvador and can be contacted in English, Spanish or French.

Contact:

Email: jsolorza@du.edu

Lead System Developer